Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.408264 0.538567 0.688232 0.870426 1.083805 1.323476 1.610663
2025-11-09 0.219627 0.369099 0.567879 0.840274 1.192652 1.622501 2.175553
2025-11-16 0.133250 0.287511 0.523555 0.881651 1.382680 2.032118 2.910059
2025-11-23 0.074021 0.214536 0.464915 0.884524 1.514924 2.375739 3.587680
2025-11-30 0.046851 0.180635 0.453347 0.948387 1.732998 2.845225 4.455934
2025-12-07 0.027383 0.147764 0.431072 0.987137 1.913229 3.270560 5.285010
2025-12-14 0.014113 0.116412 0.399133 1.000150 2.050297 3.638272 6.048427
2025-12-21 0.005769 0.086473 0.356695 0.983027 2.132628 3.925695 6.706937
2025-12-28 0.002295 0.068677 0.334791 0.998883 2.267475 4.295010 7.493162
2026-01-04 0.000618 0.052713 0.309119 1.000342 2.374474 4.623381 8.228056
2026-01-11 0.000042 0.036696 0.272214 0.968167 2.415510 4.846807 8.811944
2026-01-18 NaN 0.025443 0.242440 0.944314 2.466782 5.085584 9.423127
2026-01-25 NaN 0.018862 0.226607 0.952558 2.582387 5.439303 10.229116
2026-02-01 NaN 0.011651 0.197565 0.918884 2.611824 5.650747 10.823131
2026-02-08 NaN 0.009522 0.196416 0.962087 2.799417 6.136115 11.856892
2026-02-15 NaN 0.006445 0.182537 0.964726 2.902535 6.480113 12.676909
2026-02-22 NaN 0.005820 0.189432 1.032310 3.147024 7.076397 13.909588
2026-03-01 NaN 0.004616 0.188056 1.073290 3.336493 7.581908 15.007812
2026-03-08 NaN 0.003147 0.178983 1.087024 3.467040 7.987243 15.953657
2026-03-15 NaN 0.001692 0.161917 1.068845 3.524720 8.264031 16.697378
2026-03-22 NaN 0.001058 0.155196 1.085636 3.661657 8.686208 17.684398
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000544 0.145166 1.087175 3.762742 9.045244 18.573821
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000154 0.127565 1.053064 3.776775 9.244294 19.203266